Consumer & Industrials
Same-store sales, brand moats, backlog, book-to-bill, and capital intensity
McDonald's U.S. comparable sales fell 1.
4% in full-year 2024 — the worst annual performance since the pandemic. The stock dropped 5% on the report. That 1.
4% number — not revenue, not earnings, not margins — was what moved the stock. In consumer-facing businesses, comparable sales (same-store sales) is the vital sign that Wall Street watches above all else. It tells you whether existing customers are spending more or less — stripped of the noise from new store openings.
A retailer can grow total revenue 10% by opening new stores while comps are negative — meaning each individual store is dying. Comps separate real demand growth from unit growth, and for consumer companies, it's the metric that separates the winners from the walking dead. Source: McDonald's Q4 2024 earnings release, February 2025.
Comps break into two sub-drivers: traffic and ticket. Rising traffic with stable ticket = genuine demand growth (more customers, same spending) — the healthiest signal.
That is the opening. Finishing a lesson is where it stops being interesting and starts being useful: the full lesson runs to 6 sections and ends with 5 practice questions. A free account is what opens the rest, and the other 255 lessons in the Academy with it. No card.
What this lesson covers
- 1Same-store sales: dissecting the components
- 2Brand moats in consumer: pricing power vs volume
- 3Costco: the counter-intuitive consumer moat
- 4Industrials: backlog and book-to-bill
- 5Industrial KPI benchmarks by sub-sector
- 6Capital intensity: ROIC as the true quality metric