Loss Aversion & The Disposition Effect
Why losing $100 hurts more than gaining $100 feels good
Picture two screens. The first shows a position up 18% — \$1,800 of unrealized gain on a \$10,000 cost basis. The second shows a position down 28% — a \$2,800 unrealized loss.
Most investors, almost reflexively, sell the winner to 'lock in' the gain and hold the loser hoping it recovers. Both moves feel rational in the moment. Both are usually wrong.
The same wiring that helped our ancestors survive on the savanna systematically destroys investment returns — and it's the most consequential force in your portfolio that has nothing to do with which stocks you pick. Loss aversion is the single most-replicated finding in behavioral finance. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky's 1979 paper 'Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk' established the empirical fact: when people are offered a 50/50 coin flip — heads you win \$100, tails you lose \$100 — almost no one accepts the bet despite its zero expected value.
That is the opening. Finishing a lesson is where it stops being interesting and starts being useful: the full lesson runs to 6 sections and ends with 3 practice questions. A free account is what opens the rest, and the other 255 lessons in the Academy with it. No card.
What this lesson covers
- 1The disposition effect — the practical consequence in your portfolio
- 2Prospect theory's value function — the empirical statement
- 3The disposition effect, quantified — Odean 1998 brokerage-account study
- 4Loss aversion's empirical magnitude — what people demand to accept a 50/50 bet
- 5Where to see this on the platform
- 6Summary